Showing posts with label tornadoes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tornadoes. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Moore Oklahoma Tornadoes - Climate Change link???

I think not. Tornadoes are events which are driven by weather patterns...like warm moist air from the Gulf interacts with cool air from the NW. And it has happened many, many times over Oklahoma, and no doubt it will happen many more times...and perhaps the intensity will increase....but forecasters also say the frequency will probably decrease.

OK,  I do not have a degree in climate science, but I hope I just have enough science background and common sense to assess the evolving climate situation...and provide you with some informative links:

From Andrew Revkin: A Survival Plan for America's Tornado  Danger Zone

And from NASA Earth Observatory: Moore Oklahoma from satellite May 20

And if you want to contribute to Moore's recovery, here are recs from Charity Navigator.

Tornadoes...and Hurricanes, can be SO devastating, we should pay more attention to our options for protecting lives and property. That is something we can do more or less short term.

Wednesday, August 8, 2012

Latest James Hansen study and report

No models, just statistical analysis of what has been happening to our Earth's temperature and weather.

Hansen's conclusion? The past 10 years of extreme weather events is significant evidence of global warming, as opposed to a continuing random series of weather extremes. Per Hansen, humans and their greenhouse gas emissions are causing the global warming and the associated weather extremes.

My opinion? I see many sound reasons to agree with Hansen, and no significant reasons to disagree. But will this report by Hansen make any difference regarding our actions?

From an article in the Washington Post,
“The science in Hansen’s study is excellent “and reframes the question,” said Andrew Weaver, a climate scientist at the University of Victoria in British Columbia who was a member of the Nobel Prize-winning international panel of climate scientists that issued a series of reports on global warming.

Rather than say, ‘Is this because of climate change?’ That’s the wrong question. What you can say is, ‘How likely is this to have occurred with the absence of global warming?’ It’s so extraordinarily unlikely that it has to be due to global warming,” Weaver said." (bold by finbliz)

And now another quote from the same article, so true and so depressing:
"Science policy expert Roger Pielke Jr. of the University of Colorado said Hansen clearly doesn’t understand social science, thinking a study like his could spur action. Just because something ought to happen, doesn’t mean it will, he said."

Sunday, April 15, 2012

Tornado Forecasting and Reporting by NOAA


The above map is for 4/14/12 when a severe outbreak of tornadoes was experienced in the central US. Much to NOAA's credit, this outbreak was forecast and publicly announced at least 24 hours in advance, and this probably saved many lives.

If you go to the title link, you will find a page with options in blue blocks across the top. Click the Severe Thunderstorm block, and you will get another page with many graphical forecasts and recent historical maps like the above. This map is titled "Yesterday's Severe Thunderstorm Reports" and is in the lower right hand list of these graphical options. Selecting this option also gives one the actual reports in CSV (Excel readable) format, so if you really want to research whether severe weather is increasing, you can get the data to analyze this.

What do I plan to do?...I plan to continue to believe the true meteorologists and climate scientists studying this question.

GREENLAND - Will probably be the focus of near term sea level rise

Greenland is almost all covered by a very thick glacial ice cap. If all of Greenland's ice either melted or slid into the oceans, sea le...