Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Models quantify predicted storm intensity increase

Whether the model predictions are correct, we will have to wait and see, but at least some scientists are now going way beyond the simplistic - warmer seas mean more intense hurricanes.

".......scientists have now used a modelling approach capable of capturing storms of category-3 or higher intensity, enabling them to simulate twenty-first-century storms realistically....... the ensemble-mean of 18 global climate models and 4 regional models.............

In the simulations, the number of category-4 and category-5 storms in the Atlantic Ocean rose 81 per cent by 2100......increasing numbers of the strongest storms could drastically raise the cost of storm damage."

No comments:

GREENLAND - Will probably be the focus of near term sea level rise

Greenland is almost all covered by a very thick glacial ice cap. If all of Greenland's ice either melted or slid into the oceans, sea le...